01 · The mechanism
The array does not push down, it pulls up
An array on a roof plane alters the airflow across it and generates suction, concentrated at edges and corners. That suction is resisted by the fixings holding the sheet to the structure beneath.
The published figureAcross 575 UK commercial rooftops assessed between 2024 and 2026, asbestos cement accounted for one roof in ten, and 62% of those failed wind uplift assessment. Both figures are published in full, with method and limitations, on the PV Structural Feasibility Dataset.
The sheet is brittle and the fixings are old
Asbestos cement has low tensile capacity and does not deform before failing. The fixings through it are commonly of the same age as the sheet, have corroded, and were detailed for a roof carrying nothing but itself. Neither element was designed for a sustained uplift demand applied at discrete points.
Which is why weight is the wrong thing to calculate
The dead load of modules and mounting is modest, and a calculation confined to it returns a comfortable answer. The governing case is the combination under BS EN 1990, with wind actions to BS EN 1991-1-4 and its UK National Annex and array uplift derived using BRE Digest 489. The uplift is what the fixings must resist, and the fixings are what fails.
And the failure is not gradual
A brittle sheet with a corroded fixing does not degrade visibly toward failure in a way that an inspection from the ground will catch. This is a material where condition and capacity are not the same enquiry.